Predicting Politics: Counter Insurgency, Elections, and Stability
Learn modes of predicting political events and outcomes. Survey of ways that are used to predict U.S. National Presidential and Congressional elections, as well as polls. During election years, will focus on active campaigns. Second half of course devoted to prediction of conflict outbreaks around the world. Students will develop their own data, models, and forecasts for political processes. Prerequisites: 300 level course in the subfield as well as all general requirements in the major: POLSCI 102, POLSCI 175, and STA 101. One course / 3 units.