Emerson S. Niou

Professor of Political Science

External Address: 
140 Science Drive, 294K Gross, Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708
Internal Office Address: 
Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708-0204
Phone: 
(919) 660-4307
Office Hours: 
Thursday 10-12 or by appointment
Specialties: 
Methods, Political Institutions, Security, Peace, Conflict

EMERSON M.S. NIOU 牛铭实 (Ph.D., U. of Texas at Austin, 1987) is Professor of Political Science at Duke University.  He is the co-author of The Balance of Power, Cambridge University Press, 1989.  His recent publications include: “A Theory of Economic Sanctions and Issue Linkage,” with Dean Lacy, Journal of Politics, 2004; “Term Limits as a Response to Incumbency Advantage,” with Kongpin Chen, Journal of Politics, May 2005; “External Threat and Collective Action,” with Guofu Tan, Economic Inquiry, 2005; “Economic Interdependence and Peace: A Game-Theoretic Analysis,” Journal of East Asian Studies, 2007; “Strategic Voting in Plurality Elections,” with Daniel Kselman, Political Analysis, 2010; “Protest Voting: A Theory of Voter Signaling,” with Daniel Kselman, Public Choice, 2011. Professor Niou is also very pleased to have his book on the history and politics of secret ballot, Bean Voting, coauthored with Youlu Mi, published in China by the Renmin University Press in 2014 and a game theory textbook, Strategy and Politics: An Introduction to Game Theory, coauthored with Peter Ordeshook, published by Rutledge in 2015.  His current projects include studies of institutions and governance, theories of voting, and politics of alliance formation.

Education

  • Ph.D., University of Texas at Austin 1987

Niou, E, and Ordeshook, P. Strategy and Politics. Routledge, 2015.

Niou, E. An Introduction to Community Compacts in China (in Chinese). Chinese Society Press, 2014.

Niou, E. Bean Voting: The History and Politics of Secret Ballot (in Chinese). People’s University Press, 2014.

Niou, E. An Introduction to Community Compacts in China (in Chinese). Chinese Society Press, 2005.

Niou, E, and Ordeshook, PC. The Balance of Power: Stability in International Systems. Cambridge University Press, 1989.

Lacy, D, and Niou, E. "Nonseparable Preferences and Issue Packaging in Elections." Advances in Political Economy: Instituions, Modeling, and Empirical Analysis. Ed. N Schofield and D Kselman. Springer, 2013.

Niou, E. "The China Factor in Taiwan’s Electoral Politics." Democratization in Taiwan: Challenges in Transformation. Ed. J Meernik and P Paolino. Ashgate Publishing, 2008.

Niou, E. "論如何培養自治的真精神 [On Cultivating the Spirit of Self-Governance]." Prospects of Grassroots Democracy in China. Ed. Y Xu and Z Xu. 2007.

Niou, E. "Village Elections: Roots of Democratization in China." How Asia Votes. Ed. J Hsieh and D Newman. Chatham House, 2001.

Niou, E. "An Introduction to the Electoral Systems Used in Chinese Village Elections." Contemporary China: Approaching the 21st Century. Ed. JR Lilley, RW McGinnis, and BA Panko. University Press of Maryland, 1999.

Niou, E, and Ordeshook, P. "Designing Government for Coherent Domestic and Foreign Policy: Taiwan as a Test Case." Consolidating The Third Wave Democracies: Themes and Perspectives. Ed. L Diamond, M Plattner, Y-H Chu, and H-M Tien. Johns Hopkins University Press, 1997.

Niou, E, and Ordeshook, PC. "Balance of Power versus Collective Security: A Game-Theoretic Analysis." Strategic Stability in the Post-Cold War World and the Future of Nuclear Disarmament. Ed. J Melvin L Best. Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1996.

Niou, E. "An Evaluation of the Republic of China’s Foreign Policy Alternatives." The Permutation Across the Taiwan Straits. Ed. TJ Cheng, C Hwang, and S Wu. Lynn Reiner Press, 1994.

Niou, E, and Ordeshook, PC. "The Prospects for a New International Order based on Collective Security." Collective Security beyond the Cold War. Ed. GW Downs. University of Michigan Press, 1994.

Niou, E, and Ordeshook, PC. "Stability in International Systems and The Costs of War." Models of Strategic Choices in Politics. Ed. PC Ordeshook. University of Michigan Press, 1989.

Hickey, DV, and Niou, E. "Taiwan in 2015: A Turning Point?." Asian Survey 56.1 (February 1, 2016): 57-67. Full Text

Niou, E, and Zeigler, S. "External Threats and Internal Rivalry: A Theory of Alliance Formation." (2013). (Academic Article)

Lacy, D, Niou, E, and Paolino, P. "Measuring Preferences for Divided Government." (2013). (Academic Article)

Lacy, D, and Niou, E. "Information and Issue Voting in Taiwan." (2013). (Academic Article)

Song, J, and Niou, E. "日本地方财政的财源结构与地方自治的特征 [The Financial Politics of Local Self-Government in Japan]." Fudan University Political Science Review 13 (2013): 172-195.

Lacy, D, and Niou, E. "“Information and Heterogeneity in Issue Voting: Evidence from the 2008 Presidential Election in Taiwan,”." Journal of East Asian Studies (2012). (Academic Article)

Niou, E. "The China Factor in Taiwanese Politics." Journal of Social Science, University of Tokyo (2012).

Kselman, D, and Niou, E. "Protest Voting in Plurality Elections: A Theory of Voter Signaling." Public Choice (June 2010). (Academic Article)

Kselman, D, and Niou, E. "Strategic Voting in Plurality Elections." Political Analysis 18.2 (2010): 227-244. (Academic Article)

Pages

Enhancement of Taiwan Studies in the United States awarded by College of William and Mary (Principal Investigator). 2014

Taiwanese Public Opinion and Security Stability in the Taiwan Strait awarded by Josiah Charles Trent Memorial Foundation (Principal Investigator). 2006 to 2007

Conference on Cross-Strait Issues: Conflicting or Complementary approaches (October 2002) awarded by Josiah Charles Trent Memorial Foundation (Principal Investigator). 2002 to 2003

(98-0058) The Roots of Democratization: Village Elections in China awarded by Josiah Charles Trent Memorial Foundation (Principal Investigator). 1997 to 1998

(97-0036) Democratic Institutions in East Asia awarded by Josiah Charles Trent Memorial Foundation (Principal Investigator). 1996 to 1997

(96-0066) A Theory of Alliances awarded by National Science Foundation (Principal Investigator). 1996 to 1997

(93-0081) Principles of Constitutional and International Stability awarded by National Science Foundation (Principal Investigator). 1993 to 1995

(94-0641) Post-cold War Security Challenges in East Asia awarded by Josiah Charles Trent Memorial Foundation (Co-Principal Investigator). 1994

(93-0976) Symposium on International Prosperity and Security in the 1990s awarded by Josiah Charles Trent Memorial Foundation (Co-Principal Investigator). 1993 to 1994

(92-0493) An Analysis of the New World Order in an Anarchic International System awarded by Josiah Charles Trent Memorial Foundation (Principal Investigator). 1992

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