Emerson S. Niou

Emerson S. Niou

Professor of Political Science

External Address: 
140 Science Drive, 273 Gross, Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708
Internal Office Address: 
Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708-0204
(919) 660-4307
Office Hours: 
On leave 2018-2019
Methods, Political Institutions, Security, Peace, Conflict

EMERSON M. S. NIOU (Ph.D., U. of Texas at Austin, 1987) is Professor of Political Science at Duke University.  He is the author and coauthor of four books (1) The Balance of Power, Cambridge University Press, 1989; (2) Bean Voting, Renmin University Press, 2014, (3) Community Compacts in China, Chinese Society Press, 2014; and (4) Strategy and Politics: An Introduction to Game Theory, Rutledge, 2015. His recent publications include: (1) “Strategic Voting in Plurality Elections,” with Daniel Kselman, Political Analysis, 2010; (2) “Protest Voting: A Theory of Voter Signaling,” with Daniel Kselman, Public Choice, 2011; (3) “Measuring Preferences for Divided Government: Some Americans Want Divided Government and Vote to Create It.” with Dean Lacy, Philip Paolino, and Robert A. Rein, Political Behavior, December:1-25, 2017; and (4) “External Threat, Internal Rivalry, and Alliance Formation” with Sean Zeigler, Journal of Politics, 2018. His current projects include studies of institutions and governance, theories of voting, and politics of alliance formation.


  • Ph.D., University of Texas at Austin 1987

Hsieh, J., and E. Niou. “Measuring Taiwanese Public Opinion on the Taiwan Independence Issue: A Methodological Note.” China Quarterly, vol. 18, no. 1, Mar. 2005, pp. 158–68.

Niou, E. M. S. “A new measure of preferences on the independence-unification issue in Taiwan.” Journal of Asian and African Studies, vol. 40, no. 1–2, Feb. 2005, pp. 91–104. Scopus, doi:10.1177/0021909605052946. Full Text

Benson, B. V., and E. M. S. Niou. “Public opinion, foreign policy, and the security balance in the Taiwan Strait.” Security Studies, vol. 14, no. 2, Dec. 2004, pp. 274–89. Scopus, doi:10.1080/09636410500232933. Full Text

Niou, E. M. S. “Understanding Taiwan independence and its policy implications.” Asian Survey, vol. 44, no. 4, July 2004, pp. 555–67. Scopus, doi:10.1525/as.2004.44.4.555. Full Text

Lacy, D., and E. M. S. Niou. “A Theory of Economic Sanctions and Issue Linkage: The Roles of Preferences, Information, and Threats.” Journal of Politics, vol. 66, no. 1, Feb. 2004, pp. 25–42. Scopus, doi:10.1046/j.1468-2508.2004.00140.x. Full Text

Niou, E. S. “中外選舉制度的類別及特點 [An Introduction to Voting Methods].” 21st Century Bi Monthly, Feb. 2004.

Niou, E. S. “對中共核威懾的重新審視 [A Reevaluation of China’s Nuclear Deterrence Strategy].” Studies on Chinese Communism, Dec. 2003.

Niou, E., and C. Lin. “China’s Nuclear Strategy: Minimal or Limited Deterrence?.” Studies on Chinese Communism, Dec. 2003.

Niou, E., and C. Lin. “Analyzing China’s Nuclear Threat to the United States.” Mainland China Studies, Nov. 2003.