Emerson S. Niou

Emerson S. Niou

Professor of Political Science

External Address: 
140 Science Drive, 273 Gross, Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708
Internal Office Address: 
Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708-0204
(919) 660-4307
Office Hours: 
On leave 2018-2019
Methods, Political Institutions, Security, Peace, Conflict

EMERSON M. S. NIOU (Ph.D., U. of Texas at Austin, 1987) is Professor of Political Science at Duke University.  He is the author and coauthor of four books (1) The Balance of Power, Cambridge University Press, 1989; (2) Bean Voting, Renmin University Press, 2014, (3) Community Compacts in China, Chinese Society Press, 2014; and (4) Strategy and Politics: An Introduction to Game Theory, Rutledge, 2015. His recent publications include: (1) “Strategic Voting in Plurality Elections,” with Daniel Kselman, Political Analysis, 2010; (2) “Protest Voting: A Theory of Voter Signaling,” with Daniel Kselman, Public Choice, 2011; (3) “Measuring Preferences for Divided Government: Some Americans Want Divided Government and Vote to Create It.” with Dean Lacy, Philip Paolino, and Robert A. Rein, Political Behavior, December:1-25, 2017; and (4) “External Threat, Internal Rivalry, and Alliance Formation” with Sean Zeigler, Journal of Politics, 2018. His current projects include studies of institutions and governance, theories of voting, and politics of alliance formation.


  • Ph.D., University of Texas at Austin 1987

Niou, E. S., and C. Lin. “中共洲際導彈軍力的建設與實力 [Development of ICBMs in China].” Studies on Chinese Communism, vol. 37, no. 7, July 2003, pp. 80–90.

Niou, E., and C. Lin. “Counting China’s ICBMs.” Studies on Chinese Communism, vol. 37, no. 7, July 2003, pp. 80–90.

Niou, E., and P. Paolino. “The rise of the opposition party in Taiwan: Explaining Chen Shui-bian's victory in the 2000 Presidential election.” Electoral Studies, vol. 22, no. 4, Jan. 2003, pp. 721–40. Scopus, doi:10.1016/S0261-3794(02)00010-0. Full Text

Niou, E. M. S. “Strategic voting under plurality and runoff rules.” Journal of Theoretical Politics, vol. 13, no. 2, Jan. 2001, pp. 209–27. Scopus, doi:10.1177/0951692801013002004. Full Text

Lacy, D., and E. M. S. Niou. “A problem with referendums.” Journal of Theoretical Politics, vol. 12, no. 1, Jan. 2000, pp. 5–31. Scopus, doi:10.1177/0951692800012001001. Full Text

Lacy, D., and E. Niou. “全民公決的若干問題 [A Problem with Referendums].” Journal of Theoretical Politics, Jan. 2000.

Niou, E. M. S., and P. C. Ordeshook. “Return of the Luddites.” International Security, vol. 24, no. 2, Sept. 1999, pp. 84–94.