Michael Ward

Professor Emeritus of Politcal Science

External Address: 
140 Science Drive, 294E Gross, Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708
Internal Office Address: 
Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708-0204
Phone: 
(919) 660-4373
Specialties: 
International Relations, Methods, Political Economy, Security, Peace, Conflict

Education

  • Ph.D., Northwestern University 1977
  • B.A., Indiana University at Indianapolis 1970

Montgomery, JM, Hollenbach, FM, and Ward, MD. "Aggregation and ensembles: Principled combinations of data." PS - Political Science and Politics 46.1 (February 1, 2013): 43-44. Full Text

Metternich, NW, Dorff, C, Gallop, M, Weschle, S, and Ward, MD. "Antigovernment Networks in Civil Conflicts: How Network Structures Affect Conflictual Behavior." American Journal of Political Science 57.4 (January 1, 2013): 892-911. Full Text

Gleditsch, KS, and Ward, MD. "Forecasting is difficult, especially about the future: Using contentious issues to forecast interstate disputes." Journal of Peace Research 50.1 (January 1, 2013): 17-31. Full Text

Ward, MD, Metternich, NW, Dorff, CL, Gallop, M, Hollenbach, FM, Schultz, A, and Weschle, S. "Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: Toward a New Generation of Conflict Prediction." International Studies Review (2013).

Bakke, KM, O'Loughlin, J, Toal, G, and Ward, MD. "Convincing State-Builders? Disaggregating Internal Legitimacy in Abkhazia (Accepted)." International Studies Quarterly (2013). Full Text

Cao, X, and WARD, MD. "Do Democracies Attract Portfolio Investment? Transnational Portfolio Investments Modeled as Dynamic Network." International Interactions 39 (2013): in press-in press. (Academic Article)

Montgomery, JM, Hollenbach, FM, and Ward, MD. "Ensemble predictions of the 2012 US presidential election." PS - Political Science and Politics 45.4 (October 1, 2012): 651-654. Full Text

Montgomery, JM, Hollenbach, FM, and Ward, MD. "Improving predictions using ensemble bayesian model averaging." Political Analysis 20.3 (July 1, 2012): 271-291. Full Text

Montgomery, JM, Hollenbach, FM, and Ward, MD. "Ensemble Predictions of the 2012 US Presidential Election." PS: Political Science and Politics 45.4 (2012): 651-654. Full Text

Greenhill, B, Ward, MD, and Sacks, A. "The Separation Plot: A New Visual Method for Evaluating the Fit of Binary Models." American Journal of Political Science 55.4 (October 1, 2011): 991-1002. Full Text

Pages